Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, Beverley and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.
Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
3.45 – ICM Stellar Sports Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7 ½ f ITV
Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
6/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Won over at least 7 1/2f before
6/6 – Rated between 90-99
6/6 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
5/6 – Aged 5 or older
5/6 – Ran at York (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/6 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
4/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Placed favourites
3/6 – Won 6+ times
3/6 – Had won at the track before
3/6 – Aged 7 or 8
3/6 – Drawn between stalls 5-7 (inc)
1/6 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/1
TQ BEST BET: BOARDMAN
TQ DANGER: FOOLS RUSH IN
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.45 - Betfred Nifty Ffity Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV
12/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Had won over 5f before
10/12 – Aged 5 or older
9/12 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
9/12 – Had run at the course before
9/12 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
9/12 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/12 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
8/12 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster
TQ BEST BET: DRAGON SYMBOL
TQ DANGER: TENAYA CANYON
2.20 - Betfred Double Delight Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Simon Crisford has a 67% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 30% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Fanshawe has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
TQ BEST BET: MAHRAJAAN
TQ DANGER: ROCK EAGLE
2.55 - Betfred Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV
18/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Rated 92 or higher
14/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Aged 4 years-old
14/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/19 – Had run at Haydock before
5/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
TQ BEST BET: LADY HAYES
TQ DANGER: NOON STAR
3.30 - Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV
17/18 – Rated 106 or higher
16/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
15/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over 7f before
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/18 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
12/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/18 – Favourites placed
6/18 – Had run at the track before
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 - Aged 9 years-old
Kinross (5/1 co-fav) won this race in 2021
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 15/2
TQ BEST BET: KINROSS
TQ DANGER: SPYCATCHER
Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2.05 - Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV
14/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Had won just once before
12/16 – Irish bred
12/16 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
11/16 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/16 – Raced at York last out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 6/1
10 of the last 11 winners drawn 9 or lower
9 or the last 11 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of last 12 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)
TQ BEST BET: ABSOLUTELYFLAWLESS
TQ DANGER: PRIMROSE RIDGE
2.40 - bet365 Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2 f ITV
Only 2 previous runnings
Trainers Michael Dods and Mark Johnston have won the race before
Both past winners aged 5 or 6 years-old
Both previous winners came from stalls 3-5 (inc)
TQ BEST BET: PERCY'S LAD
TQ DANGER: BLUE FOR YOU
3.15 – bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV
12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Feb, March or April bred
12/12 – Drawn in 6 or lower
10/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Won over 5f before
9/12 – Won at least once before
7/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Had raced twice or more
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Drawn in stall 1
3/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The Roger Varian yard have a 57% record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
TQ BEST BET: CHATEAU
TQ DANGER: THE RIDLER
3.50 – Price Promise At bet365 Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 1m4f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Sean Woods has a 67% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer George Boughey has a 67% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop has a 35% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Daniel Tudhope has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
TQ BEST BET: UDABERRI
TQ DANGER: NOONIE
