We look ahead to DAY THREE at ROYAL ASCOT and we've seven more top-notch races to take in, but day three has always only ever been about one race - the Ascot Gold Cup! Trainer Aidan O'Brien will be going for his 8th win in the contest.
Did you know - 15 of the last 20 Ascot Gold Cup favourites finished in the top three?
Like all big race days, here at TQ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.
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Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
Day Three – Thursday 16th June 2022
2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4
Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners
2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)
Norfolk Stakes Trends
19/19 – Had at least 1 previous run
18/19 – Previous winners over 5f
17/19 – Had a RPR of 105+
17/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/19 – Won their previous race
14/19 – Foaled in March or April
11/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Favourites placed
6/19 – Returned a double-figure price
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/19 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
TQ VERDICT: WALBANK
TQ DANGER: PILLOW TALK
3.05 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV4
King George V Stakes Recent Winners
2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)
King George V Stakes Trends
18/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
18/19 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
18/19 – Never raced at Ascot before
18/19 – Placed last time out
16/19 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
11/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Won their previous race
6/19 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/19 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/19 – Godolphin-owned
11 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)
TQ VERDICT: DEAUVILLE LEGEND
TQ DANGER: ACHNAMARA
3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f ITV4
Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners
2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)
Ribblesdale Stakes Trends
16/19 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
16/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
14/19 – Placed in their previous race
13/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/19 – Won their last race
6/19 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 10)
5/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 8)
3/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
8 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)
TQ VERDICT: SEA SILK ROAD
TQ DANGER: HISTORY
4.20 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV
Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners
2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)
Ascot Gold Cup Trends
18/20 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
17/20 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
17/20 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
15/20 – Favourites that were placed
15/20 – Won their last race
14/20 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/20 – Aged 5 or older
11/20 – Won by the favourite
7/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/20 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
14 of the last 16 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 16 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 15 multiple winners of the race
TQ VERDICT: KYPRIOS
TQ DANGER: MOJO STAR
5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV4
Britannia Stakes Recent Winners
2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)
Britannia Stakes Trends
17/19 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
16/19 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
15/19 – Placed last time out
13/19 – Failed to win their previous race
13/19 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/19 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/19 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/19 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall (last 2 winners from stall 19)
TQ VERDICT: WANEES
TQ DANGER: THESIS
5.35 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV4
Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners
2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)
Hampton Court Stakes Trends
18/19 – Had not raced at Ascot before
16/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/19 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
11/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
13 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
10 of the last 16 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)
TQ VERDICT: REACH FOR THE MOON
TQ DANGER: CLAYMORE
6.10 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4
Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends
7/7 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/7 – Unplaced favourites
6/7 – Had run at Ascot before
6/7 – Had won over at least 6f before
6/7 – Had 5+ wins before
6/7 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Rated between 92-98
6/7 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/7 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
4/7 – Bred in Ireland
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Came from stall 29
2/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/7 – Winning favourites
TQ VERDICT: MONTASSIB
TQ DANGER: VAFORTINO
